Mittmentum moves to Ohio, Gingrich leads Georgia on a true Super Tuesday
The Republican party has held five primaries this cycle to date: New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, Michigan, and Arizona. Mitt Romney won the statewide vote in four of them, including the last...
View ArticleMitt Romney short but in reach of the majority
When three candidates hang into the Presidential nomination race after Super Tuesday, it becomes time to check whether anyone can get a majority. Mitt Romney is close. So far he’s not there, but if...
View ArticleKansas answers the question: What about a two-man race?
Some opponents of Mitt Romney as Republican nominee have long insisted that once it’s a two-man race for the nomination, Romney will lose. Saturday’s results suggest otherwise. Even on a good night for...
View ArticleDelegate Majority update: Santorum’s last stand?
Since we last looked at the delegate situation, Rick Santorum has won two state primaries, and Mitt Romney picked up a state caucus, a territorial primary, and a territorial caucus. Santorum showing...
View ArticleCoal policy could swing the election
Forgive me for venturing out from strict horserace poll analysis, but given the the administration’s recent moves on coal power, I couldn’t help but wonder how that might affect the President in swing...
View ArticleQuinnipiac: Romney better in Pennsylvania than Ohio
Quinnipiac University put out a pair of polls this week I thought were interesting to note. Now, I have and still do think that it’s too soon to test general election Presidential matchups, so don’t...
View ArticleDelegate count update proves Santorum’s exit correct
I’m back. The last ten days have seen me move cross country and start to settle in to a new home and a new job. While I was gone, we had some primaries. So it’s high time we took a look at the delegate...
View ArticleFrom North Carolina… a poll.
North Carolina was President Obama’s narrowest win in 2008. I’ve long thought that the state would be the quickest, easiest pickup for Republicans in 2012. As the final matchup between Barack Obama and...
View ArticleSwingometer: Rasmussen tracking poll means big Romney win
Rather than look at just one state, I thought it might be interesting to see what Swingometer has to say about a national poll, and as it turns out, the most recent national poll is the tracking poll...
View ArticleNeat technology shouldn’t come ahead of poll transparency
Hey look, a post! While I’m sure everyone involved is so proud of Vanderbilt’s data filtering app for its recent poll of Tennessee showing Barack Obama still losing in one of the two states he ran...
View ArticleLet’s not poll the general election before anyone campaigns
People love general election matchup polling. For some it’s the ultimate way to decide which candidate is the best choice to win a primary. But even if that’s true, it is possible to run such polls too...
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